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Morgan Housel

The Morgan Housel Podcast -- timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness.

The Morgan Housel Podcast

A look at why so many Americans think the best was better than it was: People in the past may have been poorer than we are now, but they probably did a better job keeping their expectations in check. 

Thanks to my friends at nitrogenwealth.com.

The Most Important Financial Skill: Getting The Goalpost to Stop Moving

A look at the big story dominating this year: tails drive everything, and everything from businesses to careers either work extraordinarily well, or not at all. 

With thanks to my friends at Nitrogen: check out nitrogenwealth.com.

What I Learned In 2024: A Tale of Tails

Most people – and definitely society as a whole – seem to have a minimum level of stress. They will never be fully at ease because after solving every problem the gaze of their anxiety shifts to the next problem, no matter how trivial it is relative to previous ones.

Thanks to my friends at Ramp -- the best expense accounting system I've seen. For more check out ramp.com/morgan.

Minimum Levels of Stress

Everyone knows one version of the world -- the one that's actually happened. But that's just one of infinitive possibilities that could have occurred. I asked ChatGPT to write different versions of how my life could have ended up, and was stunned by the results. I'd be you'd have the same experience. 

Thanks to my friends at 10 East -- check out 10east.co.

All The Different Ways Your Life Could Have Turned Out

A story about how tails drive everything, and why the vast majority of your success in investing and in life will come from just a few of the things you do. 

Thanks to my friends at Ramp -- the best expense accounting system I've seen. For more check out ramp.com/morgan.

Tails, You Win

A collection of things I've been thinking about lately that I hope you find valuable regardless of your profession. 

Thanks to my friends at Eight Sleep. Check out eightsleep.com/morganhousel for more.

A Few Things I'm Pretty Sure About

A simple formula for a pretty nice life is independence plus purpose.

Purpose is different for everyone. Sometimes it’s family, sometimes it’s community, religion, work, whatever.

But independence is more universal. Our desire to be independent, why we want it, what prevents us from achieving it, and why some people sabotage their ability to have it, is such a common story across cultures and generations.

Thanks to my friends at Eight Sleep. Check out eightsleep.com/morganhousel for more.

Pure Independence

A few things you might consider disadvantages that actually, in hindsight, could end up as something you're grateful for. 

Thanks to my friends at Eight Sleep. Check out eightsleep.com/morganhousel for more.

Counterintuitive Competitive Advantages

Technology is a science. It’s semiconductors and code and batteries.

But Steve Jobs talked about how the iPad was playful and begged you to pick it up as much as he’d talk about its processor. The iPhone is a technological marvel, but Jobs spent a lot of time talking about how it felt in your hand, and the experience of opening the box.

Job’s insight, and the most important factor in Apple’s success, was realizing that technology isn’t merely a science. It’s just as much an art.

Thanks to my friends at Ramp -- the best expense accounting system I've seen. For more check out ramp.com/morgan.

The Art and Science of Investing

A few ideas on why prediction is so hard, and the weird things than happen in our head when we want certain outcome to be true. 

Thanks to my friends at Eight Sleep. Check out eightsleep.com/morganhousel for more.

The Psychology of Why Prediction Can Be So Hard

My deepest forecasting belief is that you can better understand the future if you focus on the behaviors that never change instead of the events that might.

And those behaviors have a common denominator: They follow the path of least resistance of people trying to simplify a complex world into a few stories that make sense and make them feel good about themselves.

Simple stories, feel-good stories. Those are some of history’s most seductive beliefs, and they always will be.

Here are a few that stick out.

History's Seductive Beliefs

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