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CNBC

"The Exchange" on CNBC is a one-stop shop for the day's top business stories, along with breaking news and the must-see market movers heading into the back half of the trading day. This newsroom-based program also features lots of original reporting, in-depth conversations and showcases CNBC's award-winning investigative work.

The Exchange

The so-called “Bond King of Texas” says the Fed made a mistake hiking rates. Stocks pop and oil prices sink on reports U.S.-Iran talks have entered the technical stage, but Helima Croft, who served as a commodities analyst at CIA, says seemingly nothing has truly shifted in negotiations. Plus, are mortgage rates above 7% the new normal?

 
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Rate Hike Regret, Iran Negotiations, and Mortgage Mayhem 9/25/26

Long-term yields above 5% present a good deal of “shock value” to the markets, but are likely over-rated as a driver of the economy, according to CIO Group’s Steven Wieting. Utilities under pressure amid those rising rates, and trader Jeff Kilburg is going bargain hunting. Plus, AEI’s Derek Scissors says the pageantry around Chinese President Xi’s first state visit in 11 years is setting the stage for a political clash between President Trump and other members of the GOP. 

 
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Navigating Rising Rates and the Trump-Xi Summit 9/24/26

Yields, and rate hike expectations, climb on strong manufacturing data. With President Trump pushing back on creating a global entity for AI oversight, will a visit from Chinese president Xi Jinping’s be more show than substance? Plus, legendary real estate developer Richard LeFrak’s warning amid higher rates.

 
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Yields Jump, A High-Stakes Visit, and Lefrak’s Real Estate Warning 9/23/26

Meta’s Muse is a hit with Main Street, but is the next phase of AI enough to keep the trade alive on Wall Street? Peloton launches a new suite of products. Plus, how muni bonds are coming to the rescue when it comes to climate disasters. 

 
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Inspiring the AI Trade, Peloton Product Launch, and Muni Bonds to the Rescue? 9/22/26

The Nasdaq is climbing 2% as semiconductors and tech stocks rally. Meta having its third-best month on record amid investor optimism about its Muse personal agent app. And we look at whether Nike is nearing a bottom, as shares hit a 12-year low

 
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AI Stocks Rally, Meta’s Muse Moment, Nike’s Swoon 9/21/26

Our market guest’s favorite big AI name used to be Microsoft but now says Nvidia is too cheap to ignore. Plus, the AI safety debate is heating up in Washington and across the country. And the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max are launching today, but Wall Street is already looking ahead to next month’s Duo launch.

 
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Nvidia Too Cheap to Ignore?, AI Safety Debate, Apple’s iPhone Launch 9/18/26

Stocks higher, yields lower as markets digest the first Fed rate hike in three years. The CEO of Sentinelone says AI labs are engaging in “self-serving marketing.” Plus, an extended conversation with former Treasury Secretary Jack Lew. 

 
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A Post-Rate-Hike World, a C-Suite Warning, and a Former Treasury Secretary 9/17/26

Ahead of the Fed’s decision on interest rates, Kelly Evans and Brian Sullivan sit down with lawmakers, former Fed Presidents, and investing heavyweights from Washington DC. 

 
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Countdown to the Fed Decision 9/16/26

The yield on 10-year notes hitting the highest level since 2007 ahead of the Fed decision. Jefferies’ David Zervos expects a more dovish Warsh and says the market is wrong on rates. Plus, prediction markets are already scoring this NFL season. 

 
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Yields Surge, The Fed vs. Oil, and a Predictions Pop 9/15/26

After Anthropic’s Dario Amodei calls to “pace the frontier” on AI, one of the researchers who discovered OpenAI’s hack of a German website says slowing U.S. model development will also curb China. Jefferies’ Chief Economist makes the case for a December rate cut. Plus, the billionaire founder of Groupon and CEO of Tempus AI on how AI is changing healthcare.

 
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“Pace the Frontier,” The Case for a Cut, and Healing Healthcare 9/14/26

CPI cooling for the first time since September, but JPMorgan sees a 40% chance of a recession this year due to U.S. policy. We’ll look at the rising recession risk and how to position. Plus, China is targeting Walmart over U.S. tariffs, but our retail analyst still sees plenty of opportunity in the space. And Robinhood’s chief brokerage officer joins us with their latest data and a look at how users are taking advantage of the recent market sell-off.

 
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Tariffs Overshadow CPI, Retail Under Scrutiny, Robinhoods’s Read on Retail Investors 03/12/25

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