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Bloomberg


The Credit Edge reviews the top credit news of the week and looks at the week ahead, with in-depth research of the most important corporate sectors, trends and themes. Analysis of specific corporate bonds and credit default swaps is backed by Bloomberg Intelligence's robust data sets and indexes.


The Credit Edge by Bloomberg Intelligence

Swelling demand for limited supply of corporate bonds and loans could spell trouble for credit markets, according to PineBridge Investments. “The thing that gives me a lot of pause right now — and some concern — is the lack of net new supply versus the amount of demand out there,” said Jeremy Burton, the firm’s portfolio manager for US high yield and leveraged loans. “That leads to the risk that the market as a whole will make subpar credit decisions,” he tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence senior credit analyst Jody Lurie, in the latest Credit Edge podcast. Burton and Lurie also discuss the state of the consumer, default rates, coercive liability management, as well as risks in the media, health care and software sectors.

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PineBridge Fears Credit Calamity as Demand Balloons

Credit spreads are poised to hit record tight levels in the first quarter, even as debt issuance rises, according to participants in this special 2025 outlook edition of the Credit Edge podcast, hosted by Bloomberg’s James Crombie. We discuss bonds, loans, private credit — and bourbon — with the following guests: Kathy Jones, chief fixed income strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research; Ana Arsov, global head of private credit at Moody’s; Matt Brill, Invesco’s head of North America investment-grade credit; Meghan Robson, BNP Paribas’ head of US credit strategy; Meghan Graper, global head of debt capital markets at Barclays; Winnie Cisar, global head of strategy at CreditSights; Matt Mish, head of credit strategy at UBS; Oleg Melentyev, Bank of America’s head of high-yield credit strategy; and Aidan Cheslin, senior credit analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence.

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Bourbon and Bonds: The Credit Edge 2025 Outlook

Private credit could become a $40 trillion market in five years, according to Apollo Global Management. “We’re going to get there really soon,” Akila Grewal, the firm’s global head of credit product, tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Matt Geudtner in the latest Credit Edge podcast. Currently, “we estimate it’s a $20 trillion market,” she adds, referring to asset-based finance. Grewal and Geudtner also discuss relative risk and returns between public and private markets, retail investment, real estate opportunities, advantages for borrowers to raising capital privately and the fundraising environment. 

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Apollo Sees Private Credit Sprinting to $40 Trillion

A sustained period of elevated interest rates has the potential to cause pain in the fastest-growing part of corporate debt, according to RBC Global Asset Management. “We are concerned about how the direct lending private credit space would deal with a higher-for-longer world,” said Andrzej Skiba, the firm’s head of US fixed income. “You’re much better off in public markets because the leverage profile, the interest coverage ratios are just so much better,” he tells Bloomberg News’ James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence senior credit analyst Mike Holland, in the latest Credit Edge podcast. Holland and Skiba also discuss value in financial-sector debt, technology and media bond opportunities, coercive liability management exercises and 2025 bond market returns.

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RBC Sees Private Credit in Peril as Rates Stay High

Junk-rated companies rushed to sell bonds at the start of the year as risk assets rallied. In this episode, Bloomberg News reporter Olivia Raimonde looks at the opportunity for borrowers and the risks to investors as the economy slows, while Stephen Flynn of Bloomberg Intelligence digs into the communications sector.

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High-Yield Boom; Communications Focus: Credit Edge

Buyers of repackaged loans are fighting to stop Libor transition costing them millions of dollars, while Twitter has some hefty debt payments due. In this episode, Bloomberg News reporter Paula Seligson digs into the biggest credit stories of the week, while Robert Schiffman of Bloomberg Intelligence takes a deep dive into the technology sector.

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CLO Clash, Twitter Debt Drama; Technology Focus

Retail companies are tumbling into bankruptcy as consumers pull back, pressured by inflation, and debt costs soar. In this episode, Bloomberg News team leader Claire Boston weighs the outlook for US retailers, while Arnold Kakuda of Bloomberg Intelligence takes a deep dive into the banking sector.

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Retailers in Distress; Wall Street Banks Look Solid

Borrowers and investors in the $1.4 trillion leveraged loan market are battling over the looming switch to SOFR from Libor, with buyers complaining that they don’t have a say on the new rates being applied. In this episode of the Credit Edge Podcast, Bloomberg News senior editor James Crombie is joined by leveraged finance reporter Paula Seligson to detail what the switch means. Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Jaimin Patel also provides a status update on the Latin America energy sector.

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Libor-SOFR Switch Angst; LatAm Energy View

The rally across risk assets was perhaps felt the most in a corner of the structured credit market, agency backed mortgages. In this episode, Bloomberg News reporter Carmen Arroyo looks at why the bonds had the best start of the year ever, while Mike Holland of Bloomberg Intelligence digs deeper into the healthcare sector.

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Structured Credit; Healthcare Distress

The largest buyout financing ever arranged by private credit firms may be in the works -- Apollo Global Management and HPS Investment Partners are among lenders that have offered to help provide a record $5.5 billion loan supporting the buyout of health-care technology company Cotiviti. In this episode of the Credit Edge Podcast, Bloomberg News reporter Jill Shah is joined by private credit reporter David Brooke to talk about the $1.4 trillion private credit market and the increasing role in M&A financing. Bloomberg Intelligence’s Stephen Flynn also provides an update on some of the names in the telecommunications and media sector, including the pending merger of Rogers Communications and Shaw Communications, the deteriorating outlook for Lumen Technologies and potential catalysts for Disney’s credit profile.

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Private Credit Booming With M&A Deals

Canadian pensions are piling into private debt, lured by fatter returns than in corporate bonds, says Bloomberg News’ Paula Sambo. But smaller funds are struggling to raise cash for the strategy as public markets get cheaper, and there may be more private credit distress to come. In this episode of the Credit Edge Podcast, Bloomberg News senior editor James Crombie also asks Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Stephen Flynn about the telecoms and media outlook. The debt of Paramount Global trades at much wider spreads than peers, but may be due for a correction tighter.

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Brilliant Private Debt Returns; Paramount Bonds Lag

Brilliant Private Debt Returns; Paramount Bonds Lag

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