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Blockworks

A daily analysis of macroeconomics, bitcoin, geopolitics and big picture power shifts, hosted by Nathaniel Whittemore @nlw. The Breakdown is part of Blockworks.

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The Breakdown

Washington is buzzing with crypto action. From the CFTC's new crypto sprint to Hester Peirce's bold stand for privacy, this episode dives into the shifting regulatory winds—and what they mean for the future of Bitcoin, markets, and crypto infrastructure. NLW covers ETF outflows, macro pressures, and why the AI economy might be holding up GDP while the labor market struggles. Plus, Project Crypto at the SEC might be the biggest institutional shift yet. It's a packed episode on the changing rules, power struggles, and financial transformations playing out right now.

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Crypto Sprint in DC Signals Big Shifts Ahead

Today NLW unpacks a stunning escalation as President Trump fires the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics after a weak jobs report. The move has shaken confidence in the independence of US economic institutions, with critics across the spectrum warning of authoritarian overreach. We look at what this means for the Fed, interest rate policy, and the future of economic data in America. From market reactions to historical comparisons with Venezuela and Argentina, this episode explores whether the blow up around this is TDS or if we’ve crossed a line that can't be uncrossed—and why some are calling Bitcoin the new insurance policy.

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After Weak Jobs Report, BLS Commissioner Gets the Ax

For this Long Read Sunday, NLW explores Nick Carter’s sweeping new essay comparing modern stablecoins to 19th-century free banking. Through a condensed version rewritten by Claude, the episode dismantles the common narrative that stablecoins echo a chaotic era of wildcat banking. Instead, it shows how American instability was due to bad regulation—not the concept of private money itself. With successful examples from Scottish and Canadian free banking systems, and a look at how stablecoins leverage tech and market incentives to solve past failures, this is a must-listen for anyone serious about monetary history and crypto’s future.

Source: https://murmurationstwo.substack.com/p/the-last-word-on-stablecoins-and

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The Stablecoin Free Banking Debate—What History Really Says

This week’s Friday Five is dominated by a stunning speech from the new SEC Chair, signaling a dramatic shift in U.S. crypto policy. NLW breaks down the speech’s implications, from safe harbors and tokenization to a renewed embrace of crypto within securities law. Also on the docket: Powell’s hawkish tone and Trump’s renewed feud with the Fed, Ray Dalio’s bold portfolio advice, a volatile week for crypto treasury companies, and the game-changing JPMorgan-Coinbase partnership that redefines institutional crypto access. All that plus Bitcoin weathers an 80,000-coin liquidation without blinking.

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Crypto's Regulatory U-Turn: The Five Most Important Stories in Crypto This Week

The July FOMC meeting delivered no rate change—but plenty of political drama. Powell refused to guide toward September cuts, triggering hawkish market reactions and rare dissent from Fed governors Waller and Bowman. Meanwhile, the White House unveiled a sweeping crypto policy roadmap during Powell's press conference, signaling a new era of fiscal dominance and shifting central bank relevance. NLW breaks it all down—from Powell’s quiet rebellion to the Fed’s waning independence and the rise of crypto on the policy stage.

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Powell's Hawkish Wait-and-See

Crypto treasury companies like Bitmine and Backed are under pressure as investor enthusiasm wanes. Bitmine’s share buyback failed to move markets, raising concerns about narrative exhaustion despite bullish projections and backing from major crypto firms. Meanwhile, Backed’s discounted public offering cratered its stock, and Tether-backed 21 Capital ramps up ahead of listing. NLW explores whether the crypto treasury trend is stalling—and what it means for the broader market.

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Crypto Treasuries Face Their First Real Test

In a sobering comments, legendary hedge fund manager Ray Dalio recently warned that the U.S. has crossed a fiscal Rubicon. NLW breaks down Dalio’s thesis of irreversible debt doom, currency devaluation, and the looming end of American monetary dominance. With interest payments surpassing the defense budget and the government falling short on reform, Dalio argues that fiat systems are expiring—and that investors should seek refuge in hard assets like gold and Bitcoin. Plus, updates on Interactive Brokers' stablecoin plans, PayPal’s expanded crypto support, and the ECB’s warnings of monetary irrelevance.

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Ray Dalio Says We’ve Hit the Point of No Return

Galaxy Digital just executed one of the largest Bitcoin OTC deals in history—moving 80,000 BTC worth $9 billion for a mysterious Satoshi-era wallet. In today’s episode, NLW breaks down how the market absorbed the sale with barely a blip, explores speculation around the identity of the seller, and examines what the transaction signals for sovereign reserves and institutional confidence. Plus: ideological divisions among OG Bitcoiners, estate planning vs. capitulation, and what this sale says about the next era of Bitcoin adoption.

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$9 Billion Bitcoin Sale Stress Tests the Market—and Passes

On this Long Read Sunday, NLW dives into the two major fronts of America’s evolving crypto legislation. First, he reads and reacts to a joint op-ed from Congressmen Tom Emmer and Nick Begich urging the Senate to pass the Clarity Act and Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act following the passage of the Genius stablecoin bill. Then, in a sharp historical detour, NLW turns to Byron Gilliam's essay connecting 1600s VOC dividends in mace and nutmeg to today’s debates over crypto token rights and revenue alignment. It's a double-header episode exploring how regulation, history, and investor trust intersect to shape the future of digital assets.

Sources:

https://www.coindesk.com/opinion/2025/07/22/the-senate-must-finish-the-job-on-americas-pro-crypto-futureemmer-begich

https://blockworks.co/news/token-holders-demanding-revenue

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Finish the Job: Crypto Legislation, Token Rights, and Spicy Dividends

In today’s episode of The Breakdown, NLW dives deep into the evolving trade dynamics between the U.S. and Japan, asking whether the current trade war is really masking a larger capital or currency war. We explore the details behind a new $550 billion Japan-US investment vehicle, why Japan secured a lower tariff rate, and the controversy surrounding the deal’s legitimacy. NLW also unpacks the political upheaval in Japan, the long-term consequences of the BOJ’s extreme monetary policies, and whether the yen's behavior signals a shift in global financial strategy. Is this just brinksmanship, or a new era of macroeconomic warfare? Tune in for the full breakdown.

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Is the Trade War Actually a Capital War?

October is historically Bitcoin's best month. After coming off a stronger-than-usual September, however, and facing down macro and geopolitical uncertainty, will the Uptober trend appear once again? 

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Follow exSat’s Twitter to stay up to date @exsatnetwork or visit the testnet exsat.network

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Is Uptober On the Menu for Bitcoin?

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