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Know Your Risk Radio

Do you know how much risk your retirement portfolio is actually exposed to? Whether it’s preservation of capital or an aggressive growth strategy, every investor needs a clearly defined RISK PROFILE. Host Zach Abraham, Chief Investment Officer at Bulwark Capital Management, will cover all types of investment vehicles and you’ll learn what investing looks like when portfolios aren’t influenced by the corporate objectives of the big banks and Wall Street brokerage houses. Subscribe to the podcast here. The opinions expressed in this program are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. Any past performance discussed during this program is no guarantee of future results. Any indices referenced for comparison are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Any references to performance of securities are thought to be materially accurate and actual performance may differ. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital; please seek advice from a licensed professional. Investment advice cannot be given without a client service agreement. Bulwark Capital Management is an Investment Adviser Representative of Trek Financial, LLC., an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. bulwarkcapitalmgmt.com/disclosures/

Know Your Risk Podcast

August 12, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why one of the most valuable skills in investing may be the willingness to admit when you're wrong—and why political identity, ideology and confirmation bias can make that increasingly difficult. They also break down the latest developments around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, why a prolonged stalemate could actually increase Iran's incentive to escalate, Washington State's tax debate, the federal deficit, Berkshire Hathaway's post-Buffett capital allocation, and another unusual day across AI, semiconductors and volatility.

The Most Dangerous Thing an Investor Can Believe

August 12, 2026 - Zach Abraham sits down with tech founder and investor Aviel Ginzburg for a wide-ranging conversation about what investors may be getting wrong about artificial intelligence. Aviel explains why AI can simultaneously produce a massive financial bubble and a genuine technological revolution, where he sees the biggest bottlenecks and opportunities, why billion-dollar AI investments can become obsolete astonishingly quickly, and how dramatically the technology is already changing software development. Later, Zach and Aviel turn to Washington State's proposed income tax, the state's changing business climate, and why Aviel believes the consequences could eventually extend well beyond millionaires.

Aviel Ginzburg: What Everyone Is Getting Wrong About the AI Boom

August 11, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the increasingly difficult math behind the AI buildout as projected infrastructure spending climbs into the trillions, while the productivity gains needed to justify that investment remain far less obvious. They also break down escalating attacks on global oil infrastructure, why Iran may be content to let the current standoff drag on, tomorrow's potentially important inflation print, rising long-term Treasury yields, the Fort Knox gold debate, and why soaring equity valuations may encourage corporate America to unleash a wave of new stock issuance.

The AI Boom Is Running Into a Math Problem

August 10, 2026 – Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor dig into one of the strangest dynamics in the AI buildout: companies helping finance the customers buying their own products. They discuss Nvidia’s reported push toward a massive financing structure, why real AI demand can coexist with serious questions about capital scarcity and return on investment, and why Zach is willing to reconsider parts of his AI thesis without ignoring the financial risks underneath it. They also cover rising oil and Treasury yields, the latest developments involving Iran and the Strait, and why investors have to separate what they want to happen from what the incentives and fundamentals actually suggest.

AI Is Financing Its Own Boom

August 7, 2026 – AI is generating enormous amounts of revenue—but Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor argue investors may be confusing the money being made building AI with the money ultimately generated using it. They revisit the AI bull case, the extraordinary capital spending behind the buildout, and why the companies selling the picks and shovels may be telling a very different story from the businesses expected to eventually justify the investment. They also break down the latest jobs report, inflation risks, oil-market tightness, developments around Iran, and what the market may be overlooking heading into the second half of the year.

AI Is Making Money...Just Not Where You Think

August 6, 2026 – Has the AI debate reached a turning point? Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor revisit one of their biggest investing themes after hearing a compelling counterargument from venture capitalist Gavin Baker. They discuss why the AI buildout may be more durable than skeptics expected, whether capital spending is actually creating long-term value, rising Treasury yields, oil's rebound, and why changing your mind when the facts change is a strength—not a weakness.

The AI Bear Case Just Got Much Harder

August 5, 2026 – One of the most dangerous investing mistakes isn't believing someone else—it's believing yourself too much. Flying solo, Zach Abraham discusses why the best investors constantly challenge their own assumptions, revisits the AI investment debate with a surprising counterargument, explains why chip companies may deserve a second look, and why separating conviction from confirmation bias is critical in today's market. He also covers oil, geopolitics, and why great investing often starts by asking, "What if I'm wrong?"

The Biggest Investing Mistake Might Be Your Own Conviction

August 4, 2026 – Stocks pushed to fresh highs as investors embraced optimism around the Middle East, falling oil prices, and lower Treasury yields. But has anything fundamentally changed? Chase Taylor discusses why markets may be reacting more to headlines than reality, whether the recent drop in oil prices is justified, how negotiations with Iran could actually unfold, and why Japan's currency intervention may not solve its underlying problems. They also break down market leadership, Treasury yields, Bitcoin as a liquidity indicator, and why investors should separate short-term narratives from long-term fundamentals.

The Headlines Changed. Reality Didn't.

August 3, 2026 – Markets continue climbing even as long-term Treasury yields remain elevated, geopolitical risks persist, and investors pour even more money into the biggest AI winners. Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor discuss why the latest hyperscaler rally may be one of the strangest market moves they've ever seen, how market structure is overwhelming traditional price discovery, whether AI spending is creating a dangerous feedback loop, and why political incentives continue to complicate both monetary policy and global energy markets. They also cover negotiations with Iran, oil prices, the Fed's increasingly difficult position, and why understanding incentives matters more than chasing headlines.

This Might Be the Dumbest Market We've Ever Seen

July 31, 2026 – Amazon's earnings, Apple's selloff, soaring Treasury yields, and AI spending continue to send conflicting signals across the market. So what's actually driving prices? Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor discuss why hyperscaler valuations continue to climb despite rising rates, whether Microsoft's accounting changes reveal a deeper issue with AI economics, why Amazon's capital spending could create opportunities elsewhere, and what today's market structure says about price discovery. They also break down developments in the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the Fed's growing challenge as long-term yields rise, and why political incentives continue to shape economic decisions.

The AI Bubble Has a Bigger Problem Than Valuations

May 18, 2026 - Zach and Chase are joined by Josh Young of Bison Interests to discuss why global energy markets may be far more fragile than investors realize. Josh breaks down the real inventory math behind the Strait of Hormuz disruption, why oil markets have remained surprisingly calm so far, what happens when global storage levels approach “tank bottoms,” and why many analysts may still be underestimating the scale of the risk. They also discuss SPR drawdowns, refinery margins, shale productivity, geopolitical uncertainty, and why energy service companies may offer some of the most asymmetric opportunities in the market today.

Josh Young: How Long Before the Oil System Breaks?

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