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Goldman Sachs

What’s driving this week’s market moves – and where are the biggest opportunities? Goldman Sachs traders discuss.

Goldman Sachs The Markets

With US 10-Year Treasury yields climbing this week to the highest level since 2007, the bond market may be the biggest risk to further equity gains, says Tony Pasquariello, global head of hedge fund coverage in Goldman Sachs FICC and Equities. Shorting bonds could be a useful
hedge for stock investments, he says on The Markets podcast. S&P 500 earnings growth, meanwhile, has been “mind-bending,” helping to keep valuations from becoming stretched, Pasquariello says. However, the increase in earnings may begin to taper off, and US stock returns may slow from their double-digit annual pace. He also sees opportunities in Japan’s TOPIX, as the country’s equity market gets a boost from shareholder reforms and government spending on defense and industrialization. 

Watch more from Tony Pasquariello on The Breaks of the Game. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JCbDQh2GokQ

Filmed on September 23, 2026.

The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs. 

A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other
person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. ⁠ 

© 2026 Goldman Sachs. All rights reserved.

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Why the Bond Market May Be the Stock Market's Biggest Risk

The Federal Reserve signaled this week that interest rates could be higher for longer, which may pose a challenge for the broader equity market if tighter policy leads to less consumption, says Anshul Sehgal, global co-head of Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities. However, companies that specialize in computing and data centers could be an opportunity for investors amid elevated interest rates. On The Markets podcast, Sehgal also discusses his take on the latest Federal Open Market Committee meeting and his outlook for longer-term bond yields. 

Filmed on September 17, 2026. 

The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs.

A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. ⁠

© 2026 Goldman Sachs. All rights reserved.
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The Opportunities for Investors amid Higher-for-Longer Interest Rates

Investors are pricing in a higher likelihood that the Federal Reserve will hike rates after core CPI inflation rose in August more than economists had estimated. However, a rate hike may not keep the US stock market from climbing higher, says Jonathan Shugar, head of Cross Asset Sales in Goldman Sachs FICC and Equities, on The Markets podcast. Companies reported strong earnings growth in the second quarter, and valuations near the 10-year average are not stretched, he explains. Shugar also discusses why a Fed hike may not restrain investment in artificial intelligence, the risks in longer-term interest rates, and the potential opportunity for investors in consumer experience stocks. 

This episode was recorded on September 11, 2026.

The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs.

A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. ⁠

© 2026 Goldman Sachs. All rights reserved.

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What a Fed Rate Hike Could Mean for US Stocks

Gold set a record high in January, but uncertainty about US interest rates and disruption from the Iran war have led to an “elongated pause” in the rally, according to Tony Kim, global head of Metals Trading in Goldman Sachs FICC and Equities. Ultimately, Kim expects strong central bank demand for the yellow metal to help drive gold to new highs, he says on The Markets podcast. Kim also discusses whether fiscal sustainability concerns could spur a rotation into gold, how reduced investment demand from Asia is impacting gold markets, and why silver has been volatile in 2026.

The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs.

A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. 

© 2026 Goldman Sachs. All rights reserved.
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Why Gold Is Expected to Rise to Record Highs

Energy markets have been surprisingly resilient amid the disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. However, there are few signs of relief in markets for refined products such as diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel, says Nitin Jindal, head of Global Commodities in Goldman Sachs FICC and Equities, on The Markets podcast. Jindal also discusses China’s remarkable adjustment to the disruption in energy supplies and the outlook for natural gas prices in Europe as winter approaches. 

The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action or be used as a basis for any other investment decision, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. Any forward-looking statements, case studies, computations or examples set forth herein are for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any sponsorship, affiliation, endorsement, ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. 

A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript.

Disclosures applicable to information relating to Goldman Sachs Global Banking & Markets, if any, mentioned herein, are available here.

https://www.goldmansachs.com/disclaimer/salesandtrading 

Filmed on August 26, 2026

© 2026 Goldman Sachs.

All rights reserved.

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What Is the Outlook for Diesel and Gasoline Supplies?

While artificial intelligence (AI) has been a key driver of US stocks, a wider range of sectors is starting to power the S&P 500, says Shawn Tuteja, head of ETF and Custom Basket Volatility Trading in Goldman Sachs FICC and Equities, on The Markets podcast. Tuteja also discusses the robust strength in earnings across 9 of 11 sectors in the S&P 500, elevated volatility among AI-related themes, and the interplay between oil prices, longer-maturity bond yields, and Federal Reserve policy. 

The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action or be used as a basis for any other investment decision, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. Any forward-looking statements, case studies, computations or examples set forth herein are for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim
any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any
purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the
property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for
informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any
sponsorship, affiliation, endorsement, ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs. 

A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. 

Disclosures applicable to information relating to Goldman Sachs Global Banking & Markets, if any, mentioned herein, are available here.

https://www.goldmansachs.com/disclaimer/salesandtrading

Filmed on August 19, 2026

© 2026 Goldman Sachs. 

All rights reserved.

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Why US Equity Returns Are Broadening Beyond AI Stocks

With a month to go until the Federal Reserve’s next rate decision, inflation is increasingly in focus for the US bond market, says Mike Mitchell, head of US Treasury and Inflation Trading in Goldman Sachs Global Banking & Markets. He explains why recent inflation data suggests the Fed could continue to hold rates steady in September, and how Treasury market supply, corporate credit issuance, and fiscal policy concerns are keeping pressure on longer-maturity Treasuries. 

This episode was recorded on August 12, 2026.

The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment, legal, or tax advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action or be used as a basis for any other investment decision, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. Any forward-looking statements, case studies, computations or examples set forth herein are for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any sponsorship, affiliation, endorsement, ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs.

A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript.

© 2026 Goldman Sachs. All rights reserved.
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How Inflation and Fiscal Policy Are Driving US Treasury Markets

Ashok Varadhan, co-head of Global Banking & Markets at Goldman Sachs, shares his outlook on assets from credit and stocks to oil. This episode also covers recent moves in AI-led stocks and currency markets, and why Varadhan does not expect the Federal Reserve to hike rates in 2026. 

Recorded on August 5, 2026. 

The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs.

A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs.

Disclosures applicable to research with respect to issuers, if any, mentioned herein are available through your Goldman Sachs representative or at ⁠http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html⁠

Goldman Sachs does not endorse any candidate or any political party.

Copyright 2026. All rights reserved.
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Why US Stocks May ‘Grind Higher’

Tech stocks been buffeted by a reversal of momentum in US equities, but hedge funds are still fundamentally bullish on AI stocks, according to Vincent Lin, co-head of Prime Insights and Analytics in Global Banking & Markets. In this conversation with Chris Hussey, he explains why the greatest cumulative selling of tech stocks in the history of his data set looks more like a “healthy reset” amid crowded trades and high volatility rather than a loss of conviction in the AI trade. 

Date of recording: July 22, 2026.

The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs.

A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs.

Disclosures applicable to research with respect to issuers, if any, mentioned herein are available through your Goldman Sachs representative or at ⁠http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html⁠

Goldman Sachs does not endorse any candidate or any political party.

Copyright 2026. All rights reserved.
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Are Hedge Funds Still Bullish on AI Stocks?

As more US companies report earnings next week, the bar is “very high” from the perspective of analysts and option market makers, says Brian Garrett, head of equities on the Cross Asset Sales desk in FICC & Equities. In this conversation with Chris Hussey, he also discusses how debt issuance from hyperscalers to fund AI capex is filtering through fixed-income markets and the divergence between single stock volatility and equity index.

This episode was recorded in July 15, 2026.

The opinions and views expressed herein are as of the date of publication, subject to change without notice, and may not necessarily reflect the institutional views of Goldman Sachs or its affiliates. The material provided is intended for informational purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation from any Goldman Sachs entity to take any particular action, or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities or financial products. This material may contain forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither Goldman Sachs nor any of its affiliates make any representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the statements or information contained herein and disclaim any liability whatsoever for reliance on such information for any purpose. Each name of a third-party organization mentioned is the property of the company to which it relates, is used here strictly for informational and identification purposes only and is not used to imply any ownership or license rights between any such company and Goldman Sachs.

A transcript is provided for convenience and may differ from the original video or audio content. Goldman Sachs is not responsible for any errors in the transcript. This material should not be copied, distributed, published, or reproduced in whole or in part or disclosed by any recipient to any other person without the express written consent of Goldman Sachs.

Disclosures applicable to research with respect to issuers, if any, mentioned herein are available through your Goldman Sachs representative or at ⁠http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html⁠

Goldman Sachs does not endorse any candidate or any political party.

Views of the interviewee do not necessarily reflect the views of Goldman Sachs.

Copyright 2026. All rights reserved.
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The 'Market of Stocks' vs. the 'Stock Market'

On July 24, the Nasdaq 100 will undergo a “special rebalance,” which is meant to curb the high concentration in the index of a handful of tech stocks. Discussing what this means for both investors and the equity prices of companies impacted by the rebalance, David Kostin, chief US equity strategist in Goldman Sachs Research, joins our latest episode of The Markets, a new weekly podcast from Goldman Sachs Exchanges.
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Why the Nasdaq 100’s rebalancing matters for investors

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