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Bloomberg


Join Bloomberg Daybreak Asia for business and finance news centered in the Asia-Pacific region, along with insight and analysis on the day's top stories in global markets.




Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia Edition

Asian equities traded within a narrow range after US stocks and bonds fell as traders pared back wagers on imminent Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts. Shares in Japan and Australia declined while South Korea advanced. Treasuries were little changed after falling across the curve in the US session, sending yields higher. The yen steadied after Japan's July core inflation came in at 3.1%, against an estimate for 3%. We look at the global inflation picture with Ian Samson, Multi Asset Portfolio Manager at Fidelity International.

Meantime, stronger US economic data and a more hawkish tone from Fed officials have led money markets to price a 70% chance of a September rate cut, down from 90% a week ago. While data showed an increase in jobless claims — adding to signs of a slowing labor market — the solid factory purchasing managers index made traders trim their rate cut bets. A gauge of manufacturing grew at the fastest pace since 2022. Attention now turns to the central bank's annual Jackson Hole symposium, where Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak Friday at 10 a.m. New York time. We hear from Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. He speaks with Bloomberg's Michael McKee and Michael Shepard from Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

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Global Inflation in Focus Ahead of Jackson Hole; Chicago Fed's Austan Goolsbee

Asian markets looked set for a cautious open Thursday, as US stocks pulled back and bond prices climbed ahead of a key Fed gathering in Jackson Hole. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 slipped, while Treasuries rallied on tempered inflation concerns. Meanwhile, Chinese shares listed in the US bucked the trend with gains. All eyes now turn to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming remarks for clues on the September rate path. For more on the markets, we check in with Tim Pagliara, Chairman and Chief Investment Officer at CapWealth.

Plus - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing CEO Bonnie Chan is upbeat that the return of international investors will help sustain momentum amid a boom in listings and trading. Hong Kong's stock market has boomed this year, with its benchmark index surging and share sales posting a strong recovery as Chinese firms flock to raise capital. That in turn has boosted trading volumes, one of the main drivers of earnings for the exchange. We bring you part of Chan's conversation with Bloomberg's Yvonne Man.

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Stocks Stall on Fed Caution; HKEX CEO Bonnie Chan

Asian markets stumbled midweek as a selloff in heavyweight U.S. tech stocks spilled across global equities. Most major indexes in the region dipped, with Taiwan Semiconductor and SoftBank among the hardest hit. The MSCI Asia Pacific index fell 0.5%, and Nasdaq futures slid after their second-worst loss since April's tariff shock. Treasuries held steady, the dollar climbed for a third straight day, and oil edged higher following a volatile prior session. We examine the broader market landscape with Ritesh Ganeriwal, Head of Investment & Advisory at Syfe.

Meanwhile, attention is turning to Jackson Hole, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak Friday. Traders are nearly certain a September rate cut is coming, but Powell's tone could shape the longer-term policy outlook. With July CPI showing tame goods inflation but sticky services prices, investors are looking for guidance on how aggressively the Fed may ease into 2026. We look at the prospective path of rate policy with Gene Goldman, Chief Investment Officer at Cetera Financial Group.

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Tech-Led Selloff Hits Asia as Fed Watch Intensifies

US President Donald Trump called Vladimir Putin and urged the Russian leader to begin making plans for a summit with Volodymyr Zelenskiy, after meeting the Ukrainian president and European leaders at the White House on Monday. The proposal — which Trump pitched as a one-on-one summit between Ukraine and Russia's leaders that would be followed by a trilateral gathering involving all three — represented the latest turn in the US president's push to broker an end to a conflict that has lasted over three years. We get the latest from Michelle Jamrisko, Bloomberg News White House Editor in Washington.

Oil markets were in focus following Trump and Zelenskiy's meeting in Washington, as traders weighed the potential implications for regional stability and energy flows. Crude oil held steady after Monday's gain. Meantime, Asian stocks may struggle for direction at the open after the S&P 500 closed little changed. We get market perspective from Mark Matthews, Head of Asia Research at Julius Baer. He speaks with Bloomberg's Shery Ahn and Avril Hong on The Asia Trade.

Plus - a big week is coming up as the Federal Reserve's annual Economic Policy Symposium kicks off Thursday in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. The event in the Grand Teton mountains has been used by Fed chairs as a venue for making crucial policy announcements. Jerome Powell is expected on Friday to unveil the Fed's new policy framework — the strategy it'll use to achieve its inflation and employment goals. He may also drop some hints about the Fed's thinking ahead of its September policy meeting. We look at the potential impact of Powell's remarks later this week with Michele Martin, President at Prosperity, the wealth management arm of EisnerAmper.

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Russia-Ukraine Talks, Fed Outlook in Focus

In Japan, a stronger yen is set to emerge from this week’s gathering of central bankers in Jackson Hole after verbal intervention last week from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent gave the currency traction amid what is widely expected to be a dovish period for the US dollar. Governor Ueda has so far balked at preparing markets for another BOJ hike, wary of political blowback at home. But with the US Treasury Secretary now cast as the external foil, there’s still a month to prime investors for a live September meeting. For more, we speak to Bloomberg's Paul Dobson, Executive Editor for Asia Markets.

Plus - Investors will be looking to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at Jackson Hole for confirmation that US rate cuts are coming sooner rather than later. A September move is nearly fully priced, and looser US financial conditions have been a key driver of gains for risk assets across the globe. The suspense ahead of this week’s gathering will likely keep investors cautious. We heard from Skyler Weinand, Founder and Chief Investment Officer at Regan Capital.

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Traders Await Fed Chair Powell's Speech at Jackson Hole

Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Host Tom Busby take a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.
 
 • In the US – a look ahead to housing data and retail earnings.
 • In the UK – a look at challenges facing European banking consolidation ahead of an upcoming shareholder vote in Italy.
 • In Asia – a look at Japan CPI, PMI, and trade.
 
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Daybreak Weekend: Retail Earnings, European Banking, Japan Eco

Asian shares edged higher at the open, led by Japanese equities after the country's gross domestic product beat estimates. MSCI's gauge of Asian shares rose 0.2% as the Topix Index in Japan gained 0.8%. The country's economy expanded faster than expected last quarter, avoiding a recession. Stateside, bonds held their losses after higher inflation data caused traders to pare Federal Reserve interest-rates cuts, sending two-year Treasury yields higher by six basis points to 3.73%. A gauge of the dollar was little changed after gaining 0.4% in the prior session. Risk sentiment had been buoyed in previous days by expectations of monetary easing in the US, with traders fully pricing in a quarter-point reduction. But with US wholesale inflation accelerating in July by the most in three years, traders trimmed the odds of a September rate cut to about 90% from near certainty. We get reaction from Mark Luschini, Chief Investment Strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott.

Plus - traders in Asia will also focus on China's monthly data, which will help gauge the health of the economy as it battles a US trade war and the longest deflation streak since at least the 1990s. Worries of a deepening downturn are mounting, with expectations retail sales growth and industrial production slowed in July from the month prior, according to Bloomberg surveys. We check on the state of consumption in the Asia-Pacific with Matthew Driver, Executive Vice President of Services, APAC at Mastercard.

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US Inflation Picks Up; APAC Consumption in Focus

Asian stocks were poised for a mainly positive open Thursday as investors continued to ramp up bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month. Meantime, Bloomberg Economics says China's July activity data due Friday will likely show signs growth softened heading into the second half, echoing early indications in business surveys and tracking its full-year outlook. We get more on the state of China's economy from Helen Zhu, Managing Partner and Chief Investment Officer at NF Trinity.

Plus - stocks have soared to record levels and volatility has slumped to multi-year lows as traders now fully expect a quarter-point move by the Fed after an inflation print earlier this week was seen as benign. External pressure is also coming from President Donald Trump's administration with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent making his most explicit demand yet for the central bank to execute a cycle of cuts. We discuss what the Fed's path ahead may look like with Ross Mayfield, Investment Strategist at Baird Private Wealth Management.

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China Activity Preview; Fed Rate Cut Momentum Builds

Stocks climbed to a record after an in-line US inflation reading bolstered speculation the Federal Reserve will have room to cut rates in September. US inflation data bolstered expectations that the Fed can move toward rate cuts without reigniting price pressures. While underlying inflation accelerated to the strongest since the start of the year, the modest gain in goods prices eased fears that trade-related costs may feed into broader price pressures. We get reaction from Charles Lieberman, Co-Founder and Chief Investment Officer at Advisors Capital Management.
 
Plus - Bitcoin continues to flirt with an all-time high as demand from institutional investors and corporate treasury buyers lifts the wider market for digital assets. A recent executive order from US President Donald Trump clears the way for digital assets to be added to the mix of investments available in workplace retirement plans - and for ordinary investors dissatisfied with the returns from target-date funds or the traditional 60/40 portfolio to push their savings into riskier assets. We talk all things crypto with Peter Chung, Head of Research at quant trading firm Presto in Hong Kong.

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US CPI Print Fuels Fed Rate Cut Bets

US President Donald Trump extended a pause of sky-high tariffs on Chinese goods for another 90 days into early November, stabilizing trade ties between the world's two largest economies. Trump signed an order extending the truce through November 10th, deferring a tariff hike set for Tuesday. The de-escalation first took effect when the US and China agreed to reduce tit-for-tat tariff hikes and ease export restrictions on rare earth magnets and certain technologies. China said it too would extend its own suspension for a further 90 days. Meanwhile, Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices have agreed to pay 15% of their revenues from Chinese AI chip sales to the US government in an unusual, legally questionable deal that reflects the Trump administration's willingness to soften export controls in exchange for financial payouts. We discuss the day's developments with Derek Wallbank, Senior US Economy and Government Editor for Bloomberg News.
 
Plus - Wall Street refrained from making big bets ahead of a key inflation report, with stocks losing steam after climbing to the brink of all-time highs. With the earnings season almost done, investors are turning to economic data for clues on whether the Federal Reserve will be able cut rates in September. Data due Tuesday is forecast to show US consumers saw a slight pickup in inflation as retailers gradually raised prices on a variety of items subject to higher import duties. We break down the potential market implications with Joy Yang, Head of Product Management at MarketVector Indexes.

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Trump Extends China Trade Truce for 90 Days

Featuring:
 
Ross Mayfield, Investment Strategy Analyst at Baird Private Wealth Management
 
Vlad Savov, Bloomberg Tech Editor in Hong Kong
 
Rebecca Choong Wilkins, Bloomberg Asia Government & Politics Correspondent 
 
 Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bloomberg-daybreak-asia/id1663863437
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0Ccfge70zthAgVfm0NVw1b
TuneIn: https://tunein.com/podcasts/Asian-Talk/Bloomberg-Daybreak-Asia-Edition-p247557/?lang=es-es 

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Microsoft and Samsung Earnings, Italy's Meloni in Beijing

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