406: Housing Crash Predictions with Eric Bassmijian Part 1

Join Jason today as he welcomes Eric Basmajian of EPB Macro Research to the show as they do a deep dive into the housing market. Jason also suggests that as investors we should REFRAME our mind in terms of the housing industry especially as we continue to see very low inventory. Eric is an economic cycle analyst providing research on long-term and short-term trends in growth and inflation. With a degree in economics and experience at a quantitative hedge fund, Eric has developed a unique secular and cyclical framework to forecast major economic inflection points and the resulting impact on asset prices. Watch the videoon YouTube HERE. Key Takeaways: Jason's editorial 0:47 The Right Frame 3:44 Reframing the housing market debate 5:32 It's all about investing for YEILD 7:38 5 Cities where at least half of millennials can't afford to rent a 1-bedroom 9:54 Rent- the second frame 10:26 Jason's 2 value drivers- scarcity and utility Eric Basmajian interview 15:07 The new Paul Volcker? 16:25 Reframing the housing debate 18:26 The important thing is yield- not prices 19:13 Evaluating the volume cycle versus the price cycle 21:24 Inventory woes- there's nothing to sell! Disparities in the regional market 23:14 Real estate market as an indicator of the broader economy 26:00 Interest Rate Composite (Inverted) 28:03 MBA Purchase Index 30:12 US New Single Family Houses Sold 31:29 Months Supply: New Single Family Homes 32:25 NAHB/Wells Fargo US Housing Market Index Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com