Tariffs, Inflation, and the Fed (What’s Next for Real Estate?), ep. 447

What if the biggest risk in today’s market isn’t a recession, but inflation staying higher than expected while the Fed underestimates it again? In this episode of REady2Scale, Jeannette Friedrich sits down with Danny Dayan, President of DSD Global Holdings and a former global macro hedge fund CIO, to explore the ripple effects of political policies, macro uncertainty, and central bank credibility across markets and real estate. Drawing on his experience managing family office capital, Danny shares how he sees opportunity amid volatility and what investors should be watching closely.

Key Takeaways:

- Family office trends: Why family offices are cautiously re-entering the market and how they're allocating capital differently than institutional funds

- Trade policy and uncertainty: How shifting tariffs and unpredictable policy announcements are impacting business planning and economic growth

- Inflation expectations: Why inflation may be stickier than the Fed acknowledges and the risks of dismissing rising consumer and business expectations

- The Fed’s credibility trap: What happens when central banks ignore warning signs and how that could lead to more aggressive rate hikes later in the year

- Interest rate outlook: Why Danny believes higher rates, not cuts, may still be on the table in 2025 and how he's positioning for it

- Real estate market dynamics: Why housing remains resilient despite rate pressures, the inventory shortage behind high prices, and how demographics are sustaining demand

Risks for homebuilders: The triple threat of tariffs, rising input costs, and labor shortages and how these could limit new housing supply

Long-term outlook: Why Danny is cautiously optimistic on housing and sees opportunities emerging in real estate for patient investors

Whether you’re navigating macroeconomic risks or considering your next real estate move, this episode delivers a clear, data-driven perspective on where things may be headed and how to prepare.

Timestamps 00:00 Introduction to Macro Trends in Real Estate 00:23 Meet Danny Dayan: Background and Expertise 01:32 Family Offices and Investment Strategies 05:57 Impact of Trade Policies on the Economy 13:14 Federal Reserve and Inflation Expectations 23:27 Real Estate Market Analysis and Predictions

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Credits Producer: Blue Lake Capital Strategist: Syed Mahmood Editor: Emma Walker Opening music: Pomplamoose

*𝘉𝘭𝘶𝘦 𝘓𝘢𝘬𝘦 𝘊𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘭 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘰𝘱𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘶𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘰𝘱𝘦𝘯 𝘵𝘰 𝘢𝘤𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘰𝘳𝘴 𝘰𝘯𝘭𝘺. 𝘛𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘢𝘯 𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘴𝘦𝘭𝘭 𝘢 𝘴𝘦𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘰𝘳 𝘢 𝘴𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘵𝘰 𝘴𝘦𝘭𝘭 𝘢 𝘴𝘦𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘪𝘵𝘺. 𝘗𝘭𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘶𝘭𝘵 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘺𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘊𝘗𝘈, 𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘰𝘳𝘯𝘦𝘺, 𝘢𝘯𝘥/𝘰𝘳 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘧𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘴𝘰𝘳 𝘳𝘦𝘨𝘢𝘳𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘶𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘣𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘰𝘧 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘣𝘺 𝘺𝘰𝘶.

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