Is U.S. Exceptionalism Over? ep. 455

What would you do if you were in Jerome Powell’s seat today? With inflation remaining sticky and global market dynamics shifting fast, investors are searching for clarity. In this episode, Jeannette Friedrich sits down with Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, a former senior associate at the New York Fed and macro strategist at Macro Hive, to dissect monetary policy, inflation risks, and the changing nature of global investment flows.

This episode offers a deep dive into how long-term economic forces are reshaping capital markets and what investors can do to adapt.

Key Takeaways - Why the Fed’s current stance on interest rates is aimed at long-term price stability, even at the risk of recession - How inflation expectations, tariffs, and geopolitical policies are interlinked - The case for further rate hikes and what would trigger that scenario - Why US exceptionalism may be fading and how this affects global portfolio allocations - Insights on dollar weakness, gold’s rising role in reserves, and a shift toward multi-currency systems - How real estate, especially with shorter leases, can offer a hedge in high-rate, high-inflation environments - The growing importance of getting compensated for illiquidity risk in private investments - Why building an investment framework based on your own constraints is more critical than ever - Macro perspectives on China, trade wars, and the erosion of trust in global institutions - Practical life advice on relationships, frameworks, and building an extraordinary life This episode is especially relevant for investors looking to stay grounded during turbulent times and for those rethinking portfolio strategy in an increasingly multipolar world.

Timestamps 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:26 Meet Dominique Dwor-Frecaut 02:11 Inflation and the Fed's Role 08:41 Investment Strategies in a Volatile Market 16:19 Global Economic Trends and the Dollar's Future 25:57 Lightning Round and Final Thoughts

Credits Producer: Blue Lake Capital Strategist: Syed Mahmood Editor: Emma Walker Opening music: Pomplamoose

*𝘉𝘭𝘶𝘦 𝘓𝘢𝘬𝘦 𝘊𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘭 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘰𝘱𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘶𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘰𝘱𝘦𝘯 𝘵𝘰 𝘢𝘤𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘰𝘳𝘴 𝘰𝘯𝘭𝘺. 𝘛𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘢𝘯 𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘰 𝘴𝘦𝘭𝘭 𝘢 𝘴𝘦𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘰𝘳 𝘢 𝘴𝘰𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘵𝘰 𝘴𝘦𝘭𝘭 𝘢 𝘴𝘦𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘪𝘵𝘺. 𝘗𝘭𝘦𝘢𝘴𝘦 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘶𝘭𝘵 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘺𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘊𝘗𝘈, 𝘢𝘵𝘵𝘰𝘳𝘯𝘦𝘺, 𝘢𝘯𝘥/𝘰𝘳 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘧𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘴𝘰𝘳 𝘳𝘦𝘨𝘢𝘳𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘴𝘶𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘣𝘪𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘰𝘧 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘣𝘺 𝘺𝘰𝘶. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices