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The Royal United Services Institute

Global Security Briefing

This episode explores how changing security and defence dynamics in the Arctic and High North are affecting Europe, and how northern European states are seeking to upgrade their Arctic policies in response. The cases of Denmark and Estonia are considered in detail.
 
Dr Mikkel Runge Olesen, Senior Researcher for Foreign Policy and Diplomacy at the Danish Institute for International Studies, and Tomas Jermalavicius, Head of Studies at the International Centre for Defence and Security in Estonia, discuss with Dr Neil Melvin, Director, International Security Studies at RUSI, how Europe has had to adapt its Arctic and High North defence and security policies because of Russia’s changed regional position and against the backdrop of rising tensions. The approaches of Denmark, as an Arctic state, and Estonia, as a country increasingly part of the broad northern security space linking the Arctic and Baltic regions, are considered.

Europe and the High North: Denmark and Estonia

Originally published 21 April 2022.
 
India’s non-aligned position is under increasing pressure.
 
Veerle is joined by Aaditya Dave, RUSI Research Analyst, to discuss India’s reaction to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the domestic discourse and policy debate in New Delhi, and the divergent course that India has taken from its Quad partners. They also discuss UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s current visit to New Delhi as part of the ‘Indo-Pacific Tilt’, and what opportunities lie ahead for European partners to deepen their bilateral relations with India.

Bridging the Oceans #33: India and the Russia-Ukraine War

Originally published 21 April 2022. 
 
Hosts Darya Dolzikova and Tobias Borck look at the UK’s relationships with Iran and the Gulf monarchies, as well as London’s role in nuclear diplomacy with Iran and regional security.
 
Their guests Dr Sanam Vakil (Chatham House) and Professor Ali Ansari (St Andrews) trace the UK’s long history in the Gulf, and highlight the challenges facing policymakers in London.

Mind the Gulf #7: UK Relations with Iran and the Gulf States

Originally published 27 April 2022.
 
While the war in Ukraine ravages on, Taiwan is watching and learning.
 
In this episode, Veerle is joined by Dr Norah Huang, Director for International Relations at the Prospect Foundation in Taipei, to explore similarities between the current war in Ukraine and potential cross-Strait scenarios. They ask what lessons Beijing and Taipei might be learning from the war in Ukraine, and discuss what this means for Taiwan’s future relations with the US and Europe.

Bridging the Oceans #34: Ukraine’s War and the Lessons for Taiwan

The evolving role of NATO in the Arctic and High North is examined as the alliance looks to adapt its existing engagement and develop new responses to the fast-shifting regional security environment.
 
Brigadier Robbie Boyd, formerly of the British Army and currently Managing Partner at Gartner, and Katarina Kertysova, Policy Fellow at the European Leadership Network and Global Fellow at the Kennan and Polar Institutes of the Wilson Centre in Washington, discuss with Dr Neil Melvin, Director, International Security Studies at RUSI, the role that NATO is seeking to establish in the Arctic and High North, as tensions in the region increase and as European security undergoes significant shifts in the wake of Russia’s war on Ukraine.

NATO and Arctic Security

Originally published 5 May 2022.
 
Hosts Darya Dolzikova and Tobias Borck wrap up this season of 'Mind the Gulf' podcasts with a discussion on the current state of the Iran nuclear negotiations and possible future trajectories with guests Dr Naysan Rafati (International Crisis Group) and Dr Cinzia Bianco (European Council on Foreign Relations).
 
The discussion touches on the dynamics at play in Washington, Tehran and Europe, and on their likely implications for the future of regional security in the Gulf.

Mind the Gulf #8: Where Are We Now and What Comes Next?

Originally published 11 May 2022. 
 
France remains fully committed to its new Indo-Pacific Strategy, but implementation will be crucial.
 
In this episode, Veerle is joined by Dr Antoine Bondaz, Director of the Korea and Taiwan Programmes at the Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique (FRS). Together, they discuss domestic and foreign policy pressures on France’s new strategy, and what Indo-Pacific-related achievements have emerged from its presidency of the EU Council. They explore how France’s relationships in the Indo-Pacific are evolving – with China, Taiwan, India, Japan and Australia – and what Europe must do to make its engagement in the region a success, despite pressures closer to home.

Bridging the Oceans #35: Macron, France’s EU Presidency, and the Indo-Pacific

This episode examines the evolving approach of the UK to security and defence in the Arctic, as the region undergoes significant shifts due to climate change, Russia’s increasingly aggressive foreign policy and military modernisation, and non-Arctic states – notably China – taking an increasing interest in the region’s security.
 
Dr Duncan Depledge from the International Relations, Politics and History department of Loughborough University and Dr Caroline Kennedy-Pipe, Professor of War Studies at Loughborough, discuss with Dr Neil Melvin, Director, International Security Studies at RUSI, how the UK has sought to upgrade its policies towards the Arctic as a ‘near Arctic state’, and how it has begun to rebuild its security and defence engagement with Arctic partner countries as a result of Russia’s growing strength in the region.

Arctic Security and the UK

Originally published on 25 May 2022.
 
A post-Duterte presidency offers opportunities for policy shifts.
 
In this episode of Bridging the Oceans, Veerle is joined by Julio S Amador III, Founder and CEO of Amador Research Services. Together, they discuss the recent elections in the Philippines, which saw Marcos Jr elected as the new president of the country. Following President Duterte, whose relations with Beijing grew ever closer, what shape will Philippine foreign policy towards the US and China take? And what national defence and security policies are likely to emerge under a new Marcos administration? Finally, to what extent does the ongoing war in Ukraine impact Manila’s foreign and domestic policies?

Bridging the Oceans #36: What Foreign and Defence Policy Awaits Under a New Marcos Presidency?

This episode examines how the South Caucasus states of Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan are being affected by Russia’s war against Ukraine. The crisis comes at a time when the region is already experiencing significant changes as a result of the second Karabakh war and growing external competition for influence from Russia, Turkey, Iran and China. It also occurs as the transatlantic community considers its future approach to Black Sea security.
 
Natia Seskuria, Director of the Regional Institute of Security Studies in Tbilisi and RUSI Associate Fellow, and Richard Giragosian, Director of the Regional Studies Centre in Yerevan, discuss with Dr Neil Melvin, Director, RUSI International Security Studies, the implications for the wider Black Sea security space, and trace developments in the region’s protracted conflicts.

The South Caucasus and Black Sea Security

Originally published 21 December 2022. 
 
Tough times lie ahead for Beijing, with a turbulent external environment now matched with domestic unrest.
 
To round out 2022, Veerle and Dr Sheena Chestnut Greitens, Associate Professor at the LBJ School of Public Affairs, UT Austin, reflect on a turbulent year for China policy. From a downward spiral in Sino-US relations and tensions over Taiwan, to the war in Ukraine and Beijing’s relationship with Moscow, this has been a tumultuous year. The search for a predictable framework to relations between China and the West provides some limited hope for 2023, but the fundamental differences between these actors remain, and another difficult year likely lies ahead.

Bridging the Oceans #45: China’s Quest for Control at Home and Abroad

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